Last Week Callout Performance
Mar 9-13 setups vs Mar 16-20 results
BULLISH: 4/13 triggered | 8 targets hit
BEARISH: 9/13 triggered | 28 targets hit
OVERALL: 13/26 setups triggered. Bearish side dominated.
| Ticker | Bull Trigger | Result | Bear Trigger | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | $680 | No trigger | $670 | T5 – all targets to $657.50 |
| QQQ | $610 | No trigger | $597.50 | T5 – all targets to $585 |
| IWM | $255 | No trigger | $250 | T4 – hit to $242 |
| NVDA | $180 | T5 – hit $187.50 | $177 | T2 – hit to $173 |
| RTX | $215 | No trigger | $209 | T5 – all targets to $197.50 |
| WDAY | $154 | No trigger | $140 | T4 – hit to $130 |
| NOW | $125 | No trigger | $114 | T2 – hit to $110 |
| PANW | $167.50 | T1 – hit $170 | $160 | No trigger |
| DDOG | $127.50 | T2 – hit $132.50 | $120 | No trigger |
| CRM | $201.25 | Triggered | $189 | No trigger |
| IOT | $36 | No trigger | $33 | T1 – hit $32 |
| PINS | $20.50 | No trigger | $18.50 | Triggered |
| ORCL | $160 | No trigger | $140 | No trigger |
HIGHLIGHT: NVDA was the only double trigger.
Market Overview
S&P 500 fell 1.5% Friday, fourth straight losing week.
- Iran War: Iraq force majeure. Strait of Hormuz disrupted.
- Oil Surging: Higher oil = no rate cuts.
- BofA: Rate HIKE possible.
- $20B Fund Outflows: US equity $24.78B.
- Junk Bonds: $5.2B pulled.
- Flight to Safety: $5.12B gov bonds, $3.9B IG.
- SMCI Arrests: -35% on the week.
Trade Callouts — March 23-27
Bullish Setups (Above Trigger)
| Ticker | Price | Trigger | T1 | T2 | T3 | T4 | T5 | T6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | $648.57 | $662.50 | $664 | $667.50 | $669 | $672.50 | $675 | |
| QQQ | $587.12 | $595 | $597.50 | $600 | $602.50 | $605 | $607.50 | $610 |
| IWM | $242.22 | $251.25 | $255 | $256.25 | $257.50 | $260 | $262.50 | $265 |
| NVDA | $174.90 | $180 | $181.25 | $182.50 | $185 | $187.50 | $190 | |
| AVGO | $313.10 | $325 | $330 | $335 | $340 | $347 | $350 | $360 |
| MSFT | $383.51 | $390 | $392.50 | $395 | $396.75 | $400 | $405 | $410 |
| XLE | $59.31 | $60.50 | $61.25 | $62.50 | $65 | $67.50 | $68.25 | |
| SMCI | $20.91 | $24 | $25 | $26 | $27 | $28 | $29 | $30 |
| UNH | $278.11 | $290 | $292.50 | $295 | $297.50 | $300 | $302.50 | $305 |
| AMZN | $207.10 | $210 | $212.50 | $213.25 | $215 | $217.50 | $220 | |
| GLD | $413.38 | $428 | $430 | $435 | $440 | $445 | $450 | $458.75 |
Bearish Setups (Below Trigger)
| Ticker | Price | Trigger | T1 | T2 | T3 | T4 | T5 | T6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | $648.57 | $642.50 | $640 | $635 | $632.50 | $630 | $620 | $612.50 |
| QQQ | $587.12 | $578.50 | $575 | $572.50 | $570 | $565 | $560 | $550 |
| IWM | $242.22 | $240 | $235 | $232.50 | $230 | $225 | $220 | |
| NVDA | $174.90 | $170 | $167.50 | $165 | $162.50 | $160 | $155.50 | $150 |
| AVGO | $313.10 | $307.50 | $300 | $295 | $285 | $275 | ||
| MSFT | $383.51 | $380 | $377.50 | $375 | $370 | $365 | $360 | |
| XLE | $59.31 | $58 | $57.50 | $57 | $56 | |||
| SMCI | $20.91 | $20 | $19 | $18 | $17 | $16 | $15 | $12.50 |
| UNH | $278.11 | $275 | $272.50 | $270 | $265 | $260 | $250 | |
| AMZN | $207.10 | $205 | $202.50 | $200 | $197.50 | $195 | $190 | |
| GLD | $413.38 | $411 | $407.50 | $402.50 | $400 | $392.50 | $387.50 | $380 |
Trade Setups — March 23-27
All data verified against closing prices.
$SPY — $648.57
44.6M shares | $29.3B | 36 prints | Inst Avg $657.46
▲ Bullish above $662.50 → $664, $667.50, $669, $672.50, $675
▼ Bearish below $642.50 → $640, $635, $632.50, $630, $620, $612.50
$QQQ — $587.12
16.8M shares | $9.9B | 42 prints | Inst Avg $591.87
▲ Bullish above $595 → $597.50, $600, $602.50, $605, $607.50, $610
▼ Bearish below $578.50 → $575, $572.50, $570, $565, $560, $550
$IWM — $242.22
29.4M shares | $7.3B | 66 prints | Inst Avg $246.65
▲ Bullish above $251.25 → $255, $256.25, $257.50, $260, $262.50, $265
▼ Bearish below $240 → $235, $232.50, $230, $225, $220
$NVDA — $174.90
15.2M shares | $2.7B | 48 prints | Inst Avg $178.56
▲ Bullish above $180 → $181.25, $182.50, $185, $187.50, $190
▼ Bearish below $170 → $167.50, $165, $162.50, $160, $155.50, $150
$AVGO — $313.10
10.8M shares | $3.5B | 13 prints | Inst Avg $321.60
▲ Bullish above $325 → $330, $335, $340, $347, $350, $360
▼ Bearish below $307.50 → $300, $295, $285, $275
$MSFT — $383.51
2.9M shares | $1.1B | 10 prints | Inst Avg $387.36
▲ Bullish above $390 → $392.50, $395, $396.75, $400, $405, $410
▼ Bearish below $380 → $377.50, $375, $370, $365, $360
$XLE — $59.31
6.4M shares | $383M | 10 prints | Inst Avg $59.70
▲ Bullish above $60.50 → $61.25, $62.50, $65, $67.50, $68.25
▼ Bearish below $58 → $57.50, $57, $56
$SMCI — $20.91
3.2M shares | $76M | 3 prints | Inst Avg $23.39
▲ Bullish above $24 → $25, $26, $27, $28, $29, $30
▼ Bearish below $20 → $19, $18, $17, $16, $15, $12.50
$UNH — $278.11
3.6M shares | $1.0B | 11 prints | Inst Avg $282.20
▲ Bullish above $290 → $292.50, $295, $297.50, $300, $302.50, $305
▼ Bearish below $275 → $272.50, $270, $265, $260, $250
$AMZN — $207.10
7.3M shares | $1.5B | 18 prints | Inst Avg $208.12
▲ Bullish above $210 → $212.50, $213.25, $215, $217.50, $220
▼ Bearish below $205 → $202.50, $200, $197.50, $195, $190
$GLD — $413.38
6.0M shares | $2.6B | 25 prints | Inst Avg $430.45
▲ Bullish above $428 → $430, $435, $440, $445, $450, $458.75
▼ Bearish below $411 → $407.50, $402.50, $400, $392.50, $387.50, $380
Deep Dives
$SPY — Late Prints + OPEX + Ex-Dividend
36 prints | 44.6M shares | $29.3B | Bullish above $662.50 | Bearish below $642.50
- 10.58M shares at $658.02 (late prints from Thursday)
- 10.53M at $656.84
- 5.00M at $652.75 — $3.26B single print
- 2.94M at $656.83
$XLE — Energy Surges
10 prints | 6.4M shares | $383M | Bullish above $60.50 | Bearish below $58.00
One of two sectors positive Friday. Historical prints at $55-57 including 11.56M at $56.52 Mar 3.
$NVDA — Heavy Institutional Activity
48 prints | 15.2M shares | $2.7B | Bullish above $180.00 | Bearish below $170.00
Only double trigger last week. Largest: 2.21M at $178.26 Friday.
$SMCI — DOJ Arrests
3 prints | 3.2M shares | $76M | Bullish above $24.00 | Bearish below $20.00
Co-founder charged with smuggling $2.5B Nvidia chips to China. Prints collapsed from $30-33 to $22.
Education: Understanding Late Prints
Late prints are trades that legally can be reported up to 24 hours late. We track these separately in Moby due to how important they are. They show where institutions are truly positioning.
Friday’s late prints (reported from Thursday) totaled 10.5 million shares at $658.02, valued at $7 billion.
Tracking these as lines in the sand is paramount. Late prints exist on SPY, QQQ, IWM, and DIA.
How do we know when the selloff is done? It is when we see massive prints at the bottom and we close above them.
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This report is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. All trading involves risk.